Failure of Election: Antidote to a Fading Illusion

The fear-mongering of failure of election happening this coming May 10 is more than a rumor intended to discredit the Arroyo administration. There is in it a sinister move to lay down the predicate, so to speak; that in the event the bogus opposition loses, they lost because they were cheated. Indeed, this wicked form of disinformation is premeditatedly designed to deprive the electorate their rational choice on whom to vote for it seems the insurmountable lead of the Liberal Party (LP) presidential candidate, Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino, III, has suddenly hit a snag. His rating is now descending fast, and could not do anything to slow down the descent.

With the danger signal now blinking that he might not just win this coming presidential elections, the dirty minds among his brokers are frantically trying to open the escape latch by spreading lies that the Arroyo administration is about to create a scenario that could result in a failure of election. The rumor not only dampens the enthusiasm of the people to select a new leader, but aims to directly scuttle the electoral exercise. To spoil the party by pointing the blame on the administration is their most clever way to cover up their myth of political invincibility, viz. give them an excuse to grab political power disguised as “people power.”

These are visible factors that now agitate the camp of Noynoy Aquino to toy the idea of wrecking havoc to the clamor for change. The steep decline in their candidate’s popularity rating portends that he might not just be able to sustain his lead that it is now denting his image as the self-proclaimed messiah bestowed with the duty of redeeming this country from the clutches of corruption.

Right now, the only candidate running neck-to-neck with him is Sen. Manuel “Manny” Villar. The situation does not look good for his coteries who continue to inject ego into Noynoy as their man to beat this coming election. It is for this reason why the yellow horde has to hastily shift their campaign strategy by accusing Villar as the candidate of Arroyo hoping it could prevent him from overtaking Noynoy. Their fear has now turned to one of a portentous anxiety because their earlier rejoicing of easy victory is dangerously slipping out from their hands. It is on that fading confidence that prompted them to resort to anything just to capture political power be it outside of the electoral processes.

To spread the word that Arroyo is about to commit fraud or would do something drastic that could result in a failure of election, like causing widespread power interruptions or glitches in the computer machines, is seen as preparatory to any mass action that could repeat the 1986 political swindle. That old pattern of discrediting the results, which they successfully used against President Marcos, will again be used against any winning presidential candidate, except for Noynoy Aquino.

For that matter, the yellow horde are even fanning the flames of political agitation by questioning the decision of the Supreme Court to validate the power of the outgoing President to appoint the successor to Chief Justice Puno after he retires this coming May 17. But even if we are to take it that there is gray area in that provision of the Constitution, which to me is clear as the sky, the decision should have laid to rest that doubt. After all, the Supreme Court is our final arbiter on all legal and constitutional issues. Hence, for Noynoy’s camp to go beyond is to destabilize the government and it will be the people, not Arroyo, who will be deprived of their right to choose their next President. Besides, the issue of who should appoint the next chief justice has no relevance that would not, in anyway, affect the outcome of his candidacy, except for the grandstanding.

A second thought to this strategy would reveal that there is no logical reason for the administration to derail the holding of the election or to induce the military to takeover and form a junta with Arroyo at the helm. It will not even do well for her to take charge in a conspiracy, for by then people have already made up their mind in whom to vote. In which case, it would be too abrasive for the Armed Forces to thwart the people’s will by curtly telling them there was a failure of election. One must bear it in mind that the odds against Arroyo would be too high and it would be foolhardy for her to engage in an enterprise that is likely to trigger a violent reaction and even rip this nation apart.

More than that, the people’s eagerness to participate in the election, pinning their hope on its success, is an indication of their willingness to subscribe to the peaceful process. This is their implied way of urging the opposition to first cross the bridge by participating in an election and not by preempting it all because Arroyo badly wants her candidate to win or is so jittery to get away with the possible charges of plunder and corruption that may be filed against her once she is out of power. The members of the military establishment would also be having second thoughts in obeying a lameduck command-in-chief.

Similarly, it will be a self-defeating proposition for Gilberto “Gibo” Teodoro, Jr. to stand as the administration standard-bearer that is out to rig the election results. It will not do good for Teodoro to enter into an arrangement that would reduce him to a titular President while Arroyo works her way to becoming the new Speaker committed to amend the Constitution that would elevate her to Prime Minister with all the powers consolidated as though she never relinquished her post. Surely, that kind of fantasy would be far from the mind of a man who, by his record in public service, could only vouch on his integrity and intelligence as his credentials in wanting to serve our people.

Moreover, the electorate can never be ambivalent by detesting the administration while voting for its candidate as Noynoy’s camp would like to insinuate. The trend simply means that our people are learning how to segregate the issues wholly exclusive to Arroyo from the issues pertaining to the candidacy of Teodoro. There is maturity in their perception of Teodoro because the dilemma of junking him all for their vicarious hatred of Arroyo is far more dangerous. It could mean their patronage of a candidate whose platform of government is solely based on blood and vengeance or on one who is so confident he could always get away with corruption and even taking the government as a big business opportunity.

Nonetheless, to resort to such a scheme that would end up in a failure of election is anachronistic to the objective of victory any serious candidate would endeavor much to achieve. Thus, to spread the word of a pending failure of election is an illogical equation of the political situation. Even Noynoy would appear stupid should he persist in spreading that lie for as said, what good will it do to him to participate in an election that is bound to fail? This is why their camp should come out with a much more plausible explanation, for obviously no candidate in his right mind would participate in an electoral exercise where a military junta will be formed to substitute the civilian government.

The fantasy of Arroyo being installed to power is discordant to the lineage of succession even if viewed outside of the constitutional framework. Unlike the power grab in 2001, her takeover of the presidency from Estrada somehow had its logic insofar as the dynamics of politics was concerned because at that time, she was the constitutional as well as the natural successor to the President. Taking this into account, one could only surmise that the mongering is an ominous signal of what really in store in the mind of Noynoy Aquino.

In fact, Noynoy sounds more like an anarchist than an overtly ambitious but stupid politician. That observation can de deduced by his body language that should he fail to get the trophy, he might as well spoil the party altogether. This pattern of irrational behavior is quite worrisome for traditionally it should be the opposition that would insist in the holding of an honest, clean and fair election, capitalizing as usual on the unpopularity and isolation of the administration. But as the way things are moving, Noynoy’s group, it seems, are the ones working hard to prevent the holding of an election which thus betray their self-serving claim of overwhelming popularity. (03/24/10)

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